Abstract: Permanent magnet brake (PMB) is a safe and effective braking mechanism used to stop and hold the load in place. Due to its complex structure and high reliability, assessing the reliability of PMB remains a challenge. The main difficulty lies in that there are several performance indicators reflecting the health state of PMB, and they are correlated with each other. In order to assess the reliability of PMB more accurately, a constant stress accelerated degradation test (ADT) is carried out to collect degradation data of two main performance indicators in PMB. An accelerated bivariate Wiener degradation model is proposed to analyse the ADT data. In the proposed model, the relationship between degradation rate and stress levels is described by Arrhenius model, and a common random effect is introduced to describe the unit-to-unit variation and correlation between the two performance indicators. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is performed to obtain the point and interval estimates of the model parameters. Finally, the proposed model and method are applied to analyse the accelerated degradation data of PMB, and the results show that the reliability of PMB at the used condition can be quantified quite well.

第一作者：庞继红，威尼斯商学院教授，研究方向：产品质量管理与可靠性评估。

该成果以“Reliability assessment of permanent magnet brake based on accelerated bivariate Wiener degradation process”为题，2023年5月刊发于《MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING》杂志，系国家自然科学基金面上项目（72271167）的阶段性成果。